Volume XVI - 1950
A Return Of The Ice Ages
By Franklin C. Potter, Ranger-Naturalist
Mt. Mazama and Its Glaciers from a Painting by Paul Rockwood
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In the flatlands of eastern North America continental glaciation
occurred on a large scale in recent geological times. Snow fell in such
quantities that summer melting failed to keep pace with winter
accumulation and eventually glaciers resulted. Moving in all directions
from their source in central Canada, they invaded the area of what is
now the United States as far southward as the present location of the
Ohio and Missouri Rivers. A time of lighter snowfall or increased
temperatures resulted in a wasting away of the glaciers until they had
entirely disappeared. This cycle was repeated a number of times; the
last of the four continental glaciers - the Wisconsin - wasted away some
22,000 years ago.
In the higher mountains such as the Cascades local valley glaciers
existed rather than the ice sheets which completely mantled the lower
lands to the eastward. The evidence of glacial drift separated by layers
of volcanic rock indicate, however, the same response to climatic
variation. In the mountain areas where valley glaciers still exist the
present trend of the glaciers is toward smaller size. Annual
measurements in Glacier and Mount Rainier National Parks demonstrate
that summer wastage exceeds winter accumulation so that year by year the
glaciers decrease in size.
Supporting data of decreased precipitation or increased evaporation
is contributed by numerous lakes in the western areas of the United
States. During recent geological times a larger Great Salt Lake covered
much more area than its shrunken remnant. At its maximum size, its
predecessor, "Lake Bonneville," was 1000 feet deeper and overflowed its
basin on the north into the Snake River: it was undoubtedly a fresh
water lake. At the same time Lake Lahontan in Nevada covered a large
area; its existing remnants are Walker, Pyramid, and Humboldt Lakes.
Death Valley also supported a lake in recent geological times.
Accurate weather records have been kept for such a short time that
they can not reveal long time trends. Short cycles of temperature and
precipitation, influenced no doubt by sun-spots, are known, but we must
turn to the geological record for the longer trends. If the present
trend continues, we should expect our valley glaciers to continue to
decrease in size until most of them have disappeared. Likewise the
semiarid end arid portions of the western United States would increase
in size and aridity. How far this cycle will continue is, of course,
problematical. Higher areas such as the Cascades should continue to
receive more precipitation than the lowlands even though there might be
some decrease of winter snowfall. At least a few of the mountain
glaciers should persist. The prediction of the future is further
complicated by the fact that transition from the culmination of one age
to the next is not constant but has many irregular variations.
Although 22,000 years seems a long time, in the geological story it
is but a moment. The climate seems to be becoming warmer and drier, but
may not there be a reversal toward colder and wetter conditions again
sometime in the future? Each of the intervals between the ice sheets of
the Ice Age was greatly longer than the 22,000 years that have elapsed
since the Wisconsin sheet withdrew. From interglacial deposits in the
Don River valley near Toronto fossils of both plants and animals that
now are found no farther north than Missouri and Kentucky have been
found. The climate of the northern United States and southern Canada may
well continue to ameliorate for thousands of years to come.
Before we postulate a possible continuance of the Ice Age with the
formation of another continental glacier in the East and numerous valley
glaciers in the mountains, it is well to inquire into the causes of Ice
Ages. Each of the times of extensive glaciation in the geological past
has coincided with a time of great mountain building although the exact
mechanics and the explanation of the four separate ice advances of the
Pleistocene Ice Age are unknown.
One of the great mountain-making epochs of the earth is the present.
Perhaps the lands of the earth still are high enough for another
reoccurrence of glaciation on a large scale. If so, however, our climate
undoubtedly will continue to get warmer, and in some areas drier, for
some tens of thousands of years before a reversal of conditions occurs.
And even if a fifth stage does occur, the Crater Lake National Park area
and Mount Mazama will not be affected as much as they were in the past.
Mount Mazama was high enough to support glaciers comparable to those of
Mount Rainier of today. But now Mount Mazama has lost its higher
elevations and the return of glacial conditions could produce no more
than a few small glaciers. Mount Scott supported a large enough glacier
to excavate the northern segment of the mountain and with a return of
extensive glaciation it undoubted!, would support another. The only
other possibilities seem to be for small, isolated glaciers that would
occupy very limited areas since most regions in the Cascades with
elevations no higher than those in the park did not support glaciers in
the past and there is no reason to suppose that they would in the
future.
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